This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 00:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the strongest of the 35 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 6:56PM CDT until March 15 at 7:45PM CDT by NWS Memphis TN
An estimated 27,900 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- July 10, 2026 · score 34 · 6.9 km
- May 31, 2026 · score 40 · 14.4 km
- May 31, 2026 · score 40 · 18.8 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 58 out of 100, at 83 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 58 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 83% |
| Coordinates | 36.1942, -89.9740 |
| Nearest City | Paragould (50 km) |
| Population Exposed | 27.9K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-15T23:56:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.040a356e0718e059624c88f81ed03076 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Lee, AR; Phillips, AR; Mississippi, AR; Pemiscot, MO; Dyer, TN; Lauderdale, TN; Cape Girardeau, MO; Perry, MO and 6 more areas |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 6:56PM CDT until March 15 at 7:45PM CDT by NWS Memphis TN |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T19:45:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Memphis TN |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 9 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.040a356e0718e059624c88f81ed030762d92d972.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b23480b2bfcd2ffc1b2fb0082d16ebb044fa0385.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7a398473babd682c8b902789fa37f25ecfd0e731.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bae6551ef2852793ce2ec0bd25f1bf801eb45062.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.efef6bdad9de0127a2909a5ff062a4132f8535e8.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.626ad1a25971cb7537cd4f88f1b73ed36221c3d7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.38fef76640fc5c81097475bcac22b66570684d76.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.51039ec4a5daa52d4fc2724e01d242c08cd3331b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.766058fa219f0fae431fe28b158f8de65a699bce.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | G |
| Iem Magnitude | 75 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | 2 ENE Jonesboro |
| Iem County | Craighead |
| Iem State | AR |
| Iem Wfo | MEG |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_G_35.830_-90.650_1773616680000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773616680000,"latitude":35.83,"longitude":-90.65}] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 58/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.